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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Mar 3, 2021 at 6pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
LL

St Etienne
2 - 3
Lens

Moukoudi (40'), Bouanga (90+4' pen.)
Moukoudi (19'), Debuchy (26'), Gourna-Douath (66')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sotoca (20' pen.), Kalimuendo (24'), Costa (90+2')
Banza (77'), Sotoca (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Saint-EtienneDrawLens
27.97%26.65%45.38%
Both teams to score 49.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.82%55.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.58%76.42%
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.07%34.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.33%71.67%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76%24.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.41%58.59%
Score Analysis
    Saint-Etienne 27.97%
    Lens 45.38%
    Draw 26.65%
Saint-EtienneDrawLens
1-0 @ 8.91%
2-1 @ 6.64%
2-0 @ 4.68%
3-1 @ 2.33%
3-2 @ 1.65%
3-0 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 27.97%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 8.47%
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 12%
1-2 @ 8.94%
0-2 @ 8.5%
1-3 @ 4.23%
0-3 @ 4.02%
2-3 @ 2.22%
1-4 @ 1.5%
0-4 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 45.38%

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