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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Feb 21, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
D

Lens
2 - 1
Dijon

Fofana (30'), Banza (64')
Bade (79'), Doucoure (86'), Haidara (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Muzinga (61')
Kamara (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 54.04%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 21.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawDijon
54.04%24.95%21.01%
Both teams to score 47.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.76%54.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.36%75.64%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.96%20.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.75%52.25%
Dijon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.27%40.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.69%77.31%
Score Analysis
    Lens 54.04%
    Dijon 21.01%
    Draw 24.94%
LensDrawDijon
1-0 @ 13.12%
2-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 9.47%
3-0 @ 5.65%
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 2.27%
4-1 @ 2.04%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 54.04%
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 8.16%
2-2 @ 4.25%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 7.33%
1-2 @ 5.29%
0-2 @ 3.29%
1-3 @ 1.59%
2-3 @ 1.27%
0-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 21.01%

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