Rouen have gone toe-to-toe with two Ligue 1 sides at this tournament, holding their own on both occasions and finding a way to win. Valenciennes' form domestically and the fact they have not faced any formidable opponents at this tournament has us leaning towards the home team pulling off another upset. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rouen win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rouen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%).

Result
Rouen	Draw	Valenciennes
39.35% ( 0.03)	27.13% ( 0.1)	33.52% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 50.19% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.85% (

-0.42)

55.15% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.6% (

-0.35)

76.39% (

0.35)

Rouen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.63% (

-0.18)

27.36% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.17% (

-0.24)

62.83% (

0.24)

Valenciennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.09% (

-0.3)

30.91% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.8% (

-0.35)

67.2% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Rouen 39.35%

Valenciennes 33.52%

Draw 27.13%

Rouen	Draw	Valenciennes
1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2% Total : 39.35%	1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.13%	0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.05% Total : 33.52%