Ligue 2 | Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade du Hainaut
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Valenciennes and Bastia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valenciennes would win this match.
| Result |
| Valenciennes | Draw | Bastia |
37.63% ( -0.01) | 28.25% ( 0) | 34.12% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 46.94% ( -0.01) |
| 40.74% ( -0.01) | 59.26% ( 0.01) |
| 20.33% ( -0.01) | 79.67% ( 0.01) |
| 69.64% ( -0.01) | 30.36% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.45% ( -0.01) | 66.55% ( 0.01) |
| 67.4% ( -0) | 32.6% ( 0) |
