Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Concarneau win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Concarneau win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Concarneau in this match.

Result
Concarneau	Draw	Valenciennes
41.23% ( 0.11)	27.19% ( -0.04)	31.58% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 49.48% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.2% (

0.12)

55.79% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.07% (

0.1)

76.92% (

-0.1)

Concarneau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.36% (

0.11)

26.63% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.13% (

0.15)

61.87% (

-0.15)

Valenciennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.44% (

0.01)

32.56% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.9% (

0.01)

69.09% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Concarneau 41.23%

Valenciennes 31.58%

Draw 27.18%

Concarneau	Draw	Valenciennes
1-0 @ 11.47% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.23%	1-1 @ 12.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.18%	0-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.58%