SM
Brighton vs. Southampton: 19 hrs 19 mins
Upcoming predictions and previews

Why you should consider Vicente Guaita for your FPL run-in

:Headline: Why you should consider Vicente Guaita for your FPL run-in: ID:356994: from db_amp
Saves, fixtures and ownership add up to make Guaita an attractive investment.

If it’s a goalkeeping bargain you’re looking for to finish strongly in the Fantasy Premier League, Vicente Guaita could be your man.

Wayne Hennessey started the season as Crystal Palace’s first choice, but Guaita appears to have usurped him in the pecking order – since stepping in for the 1-0 victory over Leicester, the Spaniard has played in 17 of the Eagles’ last 19 matches.

And while Guaita costs a mere £4.2m, his ownership of 1.8% shows he is well and truly flying under the radar.

So why else should you throw your hard-earned FPL currency at him?

He stands a good chance of keeping clean sheets

Clean sheets provide the best opportunity for goalkeepers to score points. They might get five points for sporadic penalty saves and six points for exceedingly rare goals, but the four points for a clean sheet is the GK’s bread and butter.

Expected goals (xG) can illustrate the quality of chances each team has been facing, and therefore, how much threat there has been to each keeper’s goal.

An xG model assigns a value to every shot based on how often similar shots have been converted in the past, taking into account factors such as the location the shot was taken from and the kind of pass that led to the shot.

Crystal Palace’s average of 1.2 xG faced per match means that their opponents this season have been allowed just over a goal’s worth of chances per match. This is better than either Manchester United or Arsenal, and means that it wouldn’t often require a miracle for Guaita to keep a clean sheet.

He makes an impressive number of saves

Goalkeepers pick up a point for every three saves they make. It is quite rare for them to pick up more than two points from saves in a match, and there have only been nine occasions this season where anybody has picked up three.

There are three keepers who pick up points for the number of saves they make more often than Guaita, but all three of those keepers have conceded more goals as well.

Guaita provides a good balance – you want the points you collect from saves to be the cherry on top of a clean sheet, rather than the consolation for not getting one.

He has no tricky fixtures left

They say there is no such thing as an easy game in the Premier League, but with Arsenal out of the way, Crystal Palace finish the season with three games rated in the easiest band of the official site’s Fixture Difficulty Rating (FDR) system.

And while Guaita averages exactly two points per game against the big teams, he has an average of 5.6 points against teams with a level two FDR.

With three level two games left then, he is projected to accrue a grand total of 16.8 points from now until the end of the season, seeing him top of the projected points table for goalkeepers from gameweek 36 onwards.

amp_article__356994 : Database Data restored...  : 
last updated article - 2019-04-23 08:58:19:
html db last update - 2019-04-23 08:58:19 :

ex - 7200 : read : read cache amp html
Share this article now:
Read more about Vicente Guaita Football
Recommended Next on SM
Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1210112481631
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Fulham125341717018
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle125341313018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham124351519-415
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Ipswich TownIpswich121651323-109
19Crystal Palace121561017-78
20Southampton121110924-154
Scroll for more - Tap for full version


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
AL
Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!

Loading ...

Failed to load data.



. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .