Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Bohemians 1905 had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Bohemians 1905 win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.
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