SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 67.78%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 15.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 3-1 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.32%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Sparta Prague |
67.78% ( -0.23) | 17.15% ( 0.06) | 15.06% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 62.46% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.97% ( 0.09) | 29.02% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.99% ( 0.12) | 50.01% ( -0.11) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.09% ( -0.02) | 7.9% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.03% ( -0.06) | 27.96% ( 0.06) |
| Sparta Prague Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.82% ( 0.28) | 32.17% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.34% ( 0.31) | 68.66% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Sparta Prague |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.43% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.07% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 67.78% | 1-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.34% Total : 17.15% | 1-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.83% Total : 15.06% |
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