SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viktoria Plzen win with a probability of 52.3%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viktoria Plzen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 0-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viktoria Plzen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Viktoria Plzen | Draw | Sparta Prague |
52.3% ( -1.2) | 23.45% ( 0.44) | 24.25% ( 0.75) |
| Both teams to score 56% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.18% ( -1.21) | 44.82% ( 1.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.82% ( -1.17) | 67.18% ( 1.18) |
| Viktoria Plzen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.87% ( -0.87) | 17.14% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.64% ( -1.56) | 47.37% ( 1.56) |
| Sparta Prague Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.58% ( -0.01) | 32.42% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.06% ( -0.02) | 68.94% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Viktoria Plzen | Draw | Sparta Prague |
| 1-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.91% Total : 52.3% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.44% | 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.53% Total : 24.25% |
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