SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mlada Boleslav win with a probability of 48.95%. A win for FK Baumit Jablonec had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mlada Boleslav win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest FK Baumit Jablonec win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mlada Boleslav would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mlada Boleslav | Draw | FK Baumit Jablonec |
48.95% ( 0.25) | 24.41% ( -0) | 26.64% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 55.22% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.04% ( -0.18) | 46.95% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.79% ( -0.17) | 69.2% ( 0.16) |
| Mlada Boleslav Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.76% ( 0.03) | 19.24% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.05% ( 0.05) | 50.94% ( -0.05) |
| FK Baumit Jablonec Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.37% ( -0.29) | 31.62% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.97% ( -0.34) | 68.02% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mlada Boleslav | Draw | FK Baumit Jablonec |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 48.94% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 7% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.76% Total : 26.64% |
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