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Conference League | Group Stage
Sep 30, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion

AZ
1 - 0
Jablonec

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pilar (16'), Nespor (51'), Krob (84')
Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between AZ Alkmaar and FK Baumit Jablonec.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 54.13%. A win for FK Baumit Jablonec had a probability of 23.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest FK Baumit Jablonec win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawFK Baumit Jablonec
54.13%22.37%23.5%
Both teams to score 58.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.3%40.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.91%63.09%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.98%15.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.5%43.5%
FK Baumit Jablonec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2%30.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92%67.08%
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 54.13%
    FK Baumit Jablonec 23.5%
    Draw 22.37%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFK Baumit Jablonec
2-1 @ 9.79%
1-0 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 8.31%
3-1 @ 6.19%
3-0 @ 5.25%
3-2 @ 3.64%
4-1 @ 2.93%
4-0 @ 2.49%
4-2 @ 1.73%
5-1 @ 1.11%
5-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 54.13%
1-1 @ 10.33%
2-2 @ 5.76%
0-0 @ 4.63%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.37%
1-2 @ 6.08%
0-1 @ 5.45%
0-2 @ 3.21%
1-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 23.5%

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