Coverage of the Europa Conference League Group Stage clash between AZ Alkmaar and FK Baumit Jablonec.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 54.13%. A win for FK Baumit Jablonec had a probability of 23.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest FK Baumit Jablonec win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.