Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for FK Baumit Jablonec had a probability of 37.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.48%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest FK Baumit Jablonec win was 2-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
