Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 51.51%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sparta Prague | Draw | Galatasaray |
25.05% ( -0.36) | 23.44% ( -0.03) | 51.51% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 56.92% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.99% ( -0.21) | 44.01% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.61% ( -0.2) | 66.39% ( 0.2) |
Sparta Prague Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.68% ( -0.4) | 31.32% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.32% ( -0.47) | 67.68% ( 0.47) |
Galatasaray Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.87% ( 0.06) | 17.13% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.65% ( 0.12) | 47.34% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Prague | Draw | Galatasaray |
2-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.78% Total : 25.05% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 5.7% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.91% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.94% Total : 51.51% |
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