Aarhus
5 - 2
Honka

Tingager (21'), Mortensen (29', 45+2' pen.), Olsen (90+1'), Tengstedt (90+2')
Hojer Nielsen (44'), Links (56')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Martin (35'), Kaufmann (64')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Europa League First Qualifying Round clash between Aarhus and Honka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Honka had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Honka win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aarhus would win this match.

Result
Aarhus	Draw	Honka
46.6%	24.01%	29.38%

Both teams to score 58.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.6%

43.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.21%

65.79%

Aarhus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.21%

18.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.79%

50.21%

Honka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.21%

27.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.63%

63.37%

Score Analysis

Aarhus 46.6%

Honka 29.38%

Draw 24.01%

Aarhus	Draw	Honka
2-1 @ 9.34% 1-0 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 7.3% 3-1 @ 5.21% 3-0 @ 4.07% 3-2 @ 3.33% 4-1 @ 2.18% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.36% Total : 46.6%	1-1 @ 11.17% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.01%	1-2 @ 7.16% 0-1 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 4.28% 1-3 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 1.83% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.84% Total : 29.38%