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Danish Superliga | Gameweek 5
Oct 18, 2020 at 1pm UK
Ceres Park

Aarhus
3 - 0
Horsens

Gronbaek (31'), Mortensen (53'), Hojer Nielsen (68')
Poulsen (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Buus (17'), Hansson (50'), Gemmer (89')
Jacobsen (66')
Coverage of the Danish Superliga clash between Aarhus and AC Horsens.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for AC Horsens had a probability of 17.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for an AC Horsens win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aarhus would win this match.

Result
AarhusDrawAC Horsens
57.31%24.79%17.91%
Both teams to score 43.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.76%57.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.92%78.09%
Aarhus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.07%19.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.93%52.08%
AC Horsens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.01%45.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.29%81.71%
Score Analysis
    Aarhus 57.3%
    AC Horsens 17.91%
    Draw 24.79%
AarhusDrawAC Horsens
1-0 @ 14.78%
2-0 @ 11.92%
2-1 @ 9.26%
3-0 @ 6.41%
3-1 @ 4.98%
4-0 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 2.01%
3-2 @ 1.93%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 57.3%
1-1 @ 11.48%
0-0 @ 9.17%
2-2 @ 3.6%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 7.12%
1-2 @ 4.46%
0-2 @ 2.77%
1-3 @ 1.16%
2-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 17.91%


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