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Danish Superliga | Gameweek 17
Nov 13, 2022 at 5pm UK
Farum Park

Nordsjaelland
5 - 1
AaB

Ascone (45+1'), Schjelderup (46'), Diomande (69'), Nagalo (83'), Faghir (90')
Nagalo (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fossum (74')
Poulsen (32'), Kramer (45'), Andersen (79')
Coverage of the Danish Superliga clash between Nordsjaelland and Aalborg BK.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Midtjylland 0-0 Nordsjaelland
Monday, November 7 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: AaB 1-2 Silkeborg
Sunday, November 6 at 1pm in Danish Superliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nordsjaelland win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Aalborg BK had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nordsjaelland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Aalborg BK win was 0-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nordsjaelland would win this match.

Result
NordsjaellandDrawAalborg BK
47.37% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08) 24.48% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 28.14% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 56.2% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)46.22% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.48% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)68.52% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Nordsjaelland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)19.6% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.46% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)51.54% (0.064 0.06)
Aalborg BK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.9% (0.045000000000002 0.05)30.1% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.76% (0.055 0.05)66.24% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Nordsjaelland 47.37%
    Aalborg BK 28.15%
    Draw 24.48%
NordsjaellandDrawAalborg BK
1-0 @ 9.61% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.83% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.26% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 47.37%
1-1 @ 11.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.48%
0-1 @ 7.08% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.93% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.25% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 28.15%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Midtjylland 0-0 Nordsjaelland
Monday, November 7 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 2-0 Horsens
Friday, October 28 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Randers 0-2 Nordsjaelland
Sunday, October 23 at 1pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 1-1 Aarhus
Sunday, October 16 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 1-1 Nordsjaelland
Saturday, October 8 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 3-1 Randers
Monday, October 3 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: AaB 1-2 Silkeborg
Sunday, November 6 at 1pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Brondby 3-2 AaB
Sunday, October 30 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: AaB 1-3 Viborg
Monday, October 24 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Lyngby Boldklub 0-2 AaB
Friday, October 14 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Horsens 0-0 AaB
Monday, October 10 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: AaB 1-1 Odense
Friday, September 30 at 6pm in Danish Superliga


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