Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Nordsjaelland had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Nordsjaelland win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.