Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nordsjaelland win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nordsjaelland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.