Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Nordsjaelland had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Nordsjaelland win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aarhus would win this match.
