Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 92.95%. A draw had a probability of 5.4% and a win for Aalen had a probability of 1.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 0-3 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (12.79%) and 0-2 (11.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.57%), while for an Aalen win it was 1-0 (0.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Schalke 04 would win this match.