Bayreuth
3 - 6
Arminia Bielefeld

Knezevic (14'), Maderer (52'), Nilsson (68' og.)
Weber (4'), Weimar (90+1'), Weber (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Laursen (11'), Klos (28'), Lasme (51', 85'), Nilsson (73'), Kunze (79')
Laursen (67'), Pieper (78'), Klos (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Bayreuth and Arminia Bielefeld.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 61.99%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Bayreuth had a probability of 18.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.15%) and 0-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Bayreuth win it was 2-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arminia Bielefeld would win this match.

Result
Bayreuth	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
18.02%	19.99%	61.99%

Both teams to score 58.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.78%

37.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.57%

59.43%

Bayreuth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66%

34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.32%

70.68%

Arminia Bielefeld Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.45%

11.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.52%

36.48%

Score Analysis

Bayreuth 18.02%

Arminia Bielefeld 61.99%

Draw 19.99%

Bayreuth	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
2-1 @ 4.93% 1-0 @ 4.24% 2-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.91% 3-1 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.88% Total : 18.02%	1-1 @ 9.15% 2-2 @ 5.32% 0-0 @ 3.93% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.99%	1-2 @ 9.87% 0-2 @ 9.15% 0-1 @ 8.48% 1-3 @ 7.1% 0-3 @ 6.58% 1-4 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 3.83% 0-4 @ 3.55% 2-4 @ 2.07% 1-5 @ 1.65% 0-5 @ 1.53% Other @ 4.33% Total : 61.99%