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Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 20, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Bielefelder Alm
S

Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 0
Schalke

Klos (50')
Klos (25'), Brunner (39'), Pieper (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Thiaw (58'), Stambouli (64'), Kolasinac (90+1'), Sane (90+4')
Thiaw (71')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arminia Bielefeld in this match.

Result
Arminia BielefeldDrawSchalke 04
46.72%26.49%26.79%
Both teams to score 48.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.74%55.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.51%76.49%
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.36%23.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.27%57.73%
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.06%35.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.28%72.72%
Score Analysis
    Arminia Bielefeld 46.72%
    Schalke 04 26.79%
    Draw 26.49%
Arminia BielefeldDrawSchalke 04
1-0 @ 12.25%
2-1 @ 9.04%
2-0 @ 8.84%
3-1 @ 4.35%
3-0 @ 4.25%
3-2 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 46.72%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 8.5%
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 8.69%
1-2 @ 6.42%
0-2 @ 4.45%
1-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 1.58%
0-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 26.79%

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