SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Energie Cottbus had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Energie Cottbus win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Energie Cottbus | Draw | Werder Bremen |
29.67% ( -0.28) | 22.75% ( 0.01) | 47.58% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 63.39% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.77% ( -0.21) | 37.23% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.56% ( -0.23) | 59.44% ( 0.23) |
| Energie Cottbus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.49% ( -0.28) | 24.5% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.03% ( -0.4) | 58.96% ( 0.39) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.96% ( 0.02) | 16.03% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.61% ( 0.04) | 45.38% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Energie Cottbus | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 2-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.67% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.74% | 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 5.65% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.73% Total : 47.58% |
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