Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.05) 
