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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 1, 2022 at 5.01pm UK
Stadion der Freundschaft
WB

Energie Cottbus
1 - 2
Werder Bremen

Heike (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Schmid (43'), Weiser (73')
Pieper (72'), Gross (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Energie Cottbus 1-3 Bayern
Monday, August 12 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Energie Cottbus 0-2 Werder Bremen

We expect a fairly low-tempo affair with this cup tie representing both sides' first competitive matches of the season. Ultimately, both sides may be content enough with a narrow victory for the visitors, who will be desperate to avoid any upset ahead of their return to the Bundesliga next weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 78.05%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Energie Cottbus had a probability of 8.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.05%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.83%), while for a Energie Cottbus win it was 2-1 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
Energie CottbusDrawWerder Bremen
8.74% (0.0229 0.02) 13.2% (0.123 0.12) 78.05% (-0.155 -0.16)
Both teams to score 56.26% (-0.519 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.21% (-0.62700000000001 -0.63)26.78% (0.619 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.78% (-0.797 -0.8)47.21% (0.789 0.79)
Energie Cottbus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.53% (-0.45399999999999 -0.45)40.46% (0.446 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.92% (-0.412 -0.41)77.07% (0.404 0.4)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.5% (-0.158 -0.16)5.49% (0.1499 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.57% (-0.44499999999999 -0.44)21.43% (0.436 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Energie Cottbus 8.74%
    Werder Bremen 78.05%
    Draw 13.21%
Energie CottbusDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 2.64% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 2.01% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.16% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 0.91% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 8.74%
1-1 @ 5.83% (0.098999999999999 0.1)
2-2 @ 3.83% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.22% (0.085 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 13.21%
0-2 @ 9.36% (0.183 0.18)
0-3 @ 9.05% (0.093 0.09)
1-2 @ 8.47% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 8.19% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-4 @ 6.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.45% (0.186 0.19)
1-4 @ 5.94% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
0-5 @ 3.81% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.7% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-5 @ 3.45% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-4 @ 2.69% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-6 @ 1.84% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-6 @ 1.67% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-5 @ 1.56% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 5.31%
Total : 78.05%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Energie Cottbus 1-3 Bayern
Monday, August 12 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Energie Cottbus 2-2 Freiburg
Monday, August 20 at 5.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Energie Cottbus 2-2 Stuttgart (2-3 pen.)
Sunday, August 13 at 5.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Energie Cottbus 0-3 Mainz 05
Sunday, August 9 at 7.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Energie Cottbus 2-2 Hamburger SV (1-4 pen.)
Monday, August 18 at 5.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Besiktas 2-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-0 Jahn
Sunday, May 15 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Erzgebirge Aue 0-3 Werder Bremen
Sunday, May 8 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-3 Holstein Kiel
Friday, April 29 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Schalke 1-4 Werder Bremen
Saturday, April 23 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-1 Nuremberg
Sunday, April 17 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga


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