Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 51.94%. A win for FC 08 Homburg had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest FC 08 Homburg win was 2-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
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