SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elversberg | Draw | Greuther Furth |
32.77% ( -0.01) | 23.82% ( -0.16) | 43.4% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 61.12% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.1% ( 0.74) | 40.9% ( -0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.71% ( 0.75) | 63.28% ( -0.76) |
| Elversberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.57% ( 0.34) | 24.42% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.15% ( 0.48) | 58.84% ( -0.49) |
| Greuther Furth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.87% ( 0.37) | 19.12% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.24% ( 0.62) | 50.75% ( -0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elversberg | Draw | Greuther Furth |
| 2-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.77% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.82% | 1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.33% Total : 43.4% |
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