Havelse
1 - 5
Mainz 05

Plume (17')
Plume (1'), Folster (2'), Sonnenberg (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mateta (57', 79', 90+1'), Szalai (77'), Quaison (86')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Havelse and Mainz 05.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Havelse had a probability of 19.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.05%) and 0-1 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Havelse win it was 2-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Havelse	Draw	Mainz 05
19.83%	19.89%	60.28%

Both teams to score 62.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.32%

33.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.49%

55.51%

Havelse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.94%

30.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.81%

66.19%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.07%

10.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.86%

35.14%

Score Analysis

Havelse 19.83%

Mainz 05 60.28%

Draw 19.89%

Havelse	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 5.26% 1-0 @ 3.95% 2-0 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 2.33% 3-1 @ 2.11% 3-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.86% Total : 19.83%	1-1 @ 8.75% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 3.29% 3-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 0.32% Total : 19.89%	1-2 @ 9.68% 0-2 @ 8.05% 0-1 @ 7.28% 1-3 @ 7.14% 0-3 @ 5.94% 2-3 @ 4.29% 1-4 @ 3.95% 0-4 @ 3.29% 2-4 @ 2.37% 1-5 @ 1.75% 0-5 @ 1.46% 2-5 @ 1.05% 3-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.09% Total : 60.28%