Dortmund
0 - 2
Mainz 05

Piszczek (18'), Hummels (37'), Can (54'), Guerreiro (79'), Hakimi (81'), Witsel (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Burkardt (33'), Mateta (49' pen.)
Caricol (30'), Latza (79'), Szalai (87')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Mainz 05, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 70.8%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 12.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 3-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Mainz 05
70.8%	16.74%	12.46%

Both teams to score 56.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.59%

33.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.8%

55.2%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.62%

8.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.84%

29.15%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.32%

38.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.58%

75.42%

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 70.8%

Mainz 05 12.46%

Draw 16.74%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Mainz 05
2-0 @ 9.96% 2-1 @ 9.46% 3-0 @ 8.24% 1-0 @ 8.04% 3-1 @ 7.82% 4-0 @ 5.11% 4-1 @ 4.85% 3-2 @ 3.72% 5-0 @ 2.53% 5-1 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 2.3% 5-2 @ 1.14% 6-0 @ 1.05% 6-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.18% Total : 70.8%	1-1 @ 7.63% 2-2 @ 4.5% 0-0 @ 3.24% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.74%	1-2 @ 3.63% 0-1 @ 3.08% 0-2 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.42% 1-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.73% Total : 12.46%