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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Jul 31, 2022 at 2.31pm UK
 
FL

Kaiserslautern
1 - 2
Freiburg

Ritter (33')
Niehues (1'), Wunderlich (39'), Lobinger (90+1'), Zuck (95'), Ritter (112')
FT
(aet)
Sallai (82'), Doan (111')
Lienhart (58'), Hofler (101'), Kyereh (106')

We say: Kaiserslautern 1-2 Freiburg

We expect to see an open, entertaining cup tie between two sides who should be full of confidence on Sunday. Both are coming off the back of successful seasons, but the visitors should be a little too slick in transition for the hosts to deal with. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%).

Result
KaiserslauternDrawFreiburg
37.61% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08) 25.61% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 36.78% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.6% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.56% (-0.119 -0.12)48.43% (0.12 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43% (-0.108 -0.11)70.57% (0.11 0.11)
Kaiserslautern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (-0.102 -0.1)25.2% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.06% (-0.139 -0.14)59.94% (0.14 0.14)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)25.67% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.42% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)60.57% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Kaiserslautern 37.61%
    Freiburg 36.78%
    Draw 25.6%
KaiserslauternDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 37.61%
1-1 @ 12.12% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.47% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 8.8% (0.038 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.25% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.98% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.74%
0-3 @ 2.71% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.78%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-2 Kaiserslautern
Saturday, July 23 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Kaiserslautern 2-1 Hannover
Friday, July 15 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Dynamo Dresden 0-2 Kaiserslautern
Tuesday, May 24 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga Playoffs
Last Game: Kaiserslautern 0-0 Dynamo Dresden
Friday, May 20 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga Playoffs
Last Game: Kaiserslautern 0-1 Borussia M'bach
Monday, August 9 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Kaiserslautern 1-1 Jahn (3-4 pen.)
Sunday, September 13 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-4 Union Berlin
Saturday, May 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-4 Freiburg
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-3 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, April 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hamburger SV 1-3 Freiburg
Tuesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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