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DFB-Pokal | Final
May 21, 2022 at 7pm UK
Olympiastadion Berlin
LL

Freiburg
1 - 1
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig win 4-2 on penalties
Eggestein (19')
Kubler (81'), Lienhart (90'), Demirovic (113')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nkunku (76')
Simakan (57'), Kampl (57'), Forsberg (82'), Tedesco (90+2'), Kampl (119')
Halstenberg (57')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Next Game: Kaiserslautern vs. Freiburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Next Game: Teutonia Hamburg vs. RB Leipzig
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Freiburg 2-2 RB Leipzig (RB Leipzig to win 3-2 after extra time)

The German capital is set to host an intriguing final between two sides who are desperate to get their hands on their first major piece of silverware. While goals are to be expected considering the quality that both teams possess in the final third, a closely-fought contest could be on the cards, one which could even go beyond the 90 minutes. Leipzig will head into the final as slight favourites, and after two previous attempts at glory which ended in disappointment, we can see them lifting the trophy at the third time of asking this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.2%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawRB Leipzig
29.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 21.83% (0.00099999999999767 0) 48.79% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Both teams to score 66.62% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.09% (0.0049999999999955 0)32.91% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.38% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)54.62% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.91% (0.0020000000000024 0)56.09% (0.0010000000000048 0)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.98% (0.0049999999999955 0)14.02% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)41.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 29.38%
    RB Leipzig 48.79%
    Draw 21.83%
FreiburgDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 4.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.51%
3-1 @ 3.43%
3-2 @ 3.37%
3-0 @ 1.74%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 29.38%
1-1 @ 9.25%
2-2 @ 6.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.16%
3-3 @ 2.2%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 21.83%
1-2 @ 9.08%
0-1 @ 6.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 6.09%
1-3 @ 5.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 4.44%
0-3 @ 3.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 2.18%
0-4 @ 1.96%
1-5 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 48.79%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-4 Union Berlin
Saturday, May 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-4 Freiburg
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-3 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, April 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hamburger SV 1-3 Freiburg
Tuesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Freiburg 3-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, April 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-0 Augsburg
Sunday, May 8 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Rangers 3-1 RB Leipzig
Thursday, May 5 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-1 RB Leipzig
Monday, May 2 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-0 Rangers
Thursday, April 28 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-2 Union Berlin
Saturday, April 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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