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May 14, 2022 at 2.30pm UK at BayArena
B. Leverkusen
2 - 1
Freiburg
Alario (54'), Palacios (90+7')
Diaby (18'), Baumgartlinger (26')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Haberer (88')
Eggestein (3'), Schlotterbeck (43'), Sildillia (77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 57.2%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 21.83% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 1-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFreiburg
57.2% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 20.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 21.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 61.51% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.88% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)36.12% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.78% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)58.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)12.54% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)38.57% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.33% (0.0010000000000048 0)29.67% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.28% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)65.72% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 57.2%
    Freiburg 21.83%
    Draw 20.97%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.74%
2-0 @ 8.02%
1-0 @ 7.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.74%
3-0 @ 5.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 4.1%
4-1 @ 3.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 57.2%
1-1 @ 9.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 3.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.97%
1-2 @ 5.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.4%
1-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 21.83%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-4 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, May 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 Frankfurt
Monday, May 2 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Greuther Furth 1-4 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, April 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-1 RB Leipzig
Sunday, April 17 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-0 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, April 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, April 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-4 Union Berlin
Saturday, May 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-4 Freiburg
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-3 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, April 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hamburger SV 1-3 Freiburg
Tuesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Freiburg 3-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, April 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-2 Freiburg
Sunday, April 10 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
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Bundesliga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34245597376077
2Borussia DortmundDortmund34223985523369
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34197880473364
4RB Leipzig341771072373558
5Union BerlinUnion Berlin3416995044657
6Freiburg341510958461255
7FC Koln341410105249352
8Mainz 0534137145045546
9Hoffenheim34137145860-246
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34129135461-745
11Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt341012124549-442
12Wolfsburg34126164354-1142
13VfL BochumVfL Bochum34126163852-1442
14Augsburg34108163956-1738
15Stuttgart34712154159-1833
16Hertha Berlin3496193771-3433
RArminia Bielefeld34513162753-2628
RGreuther Furth3439222882-5418
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Ligue 2 Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Ajaccio38229739192075
3Auxerre382111661392274
4Paris FCParis FC382010854351970
5Sochaux381911847341368
6GuingampGuingamp381513105248458
7Caen381311145142950
8Le HavreLe Havre381311143841-350
9Nimes38147174451-749
10PauPau38147174149-849
11Dijon38138174853-547
12Bastia381016123836246
13NiortNiort381210163942-346
14AmiensAmiens38917124341244
15Grenoble38128183244-1244
16Valenciennes381014143447-1344
17Rodez AFRodez AF381013153242-1043
18Quevilly381010183350-1740
RDunkerqueDunkerque3887232853-2531
RNancy3869233269-3727
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