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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 1, 2022 at 7.46pm UK
MDCC-Arena
EF

Magdeburg
0 - 4
Frankfurt


Sechelmann (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kamada (4', 59'), Lindstrom (31'), Alario (90')
Jakic (85')

We said: Magdeburg 1-3 Eintracht Frankfurt

We expect to see an open, entertaining cup tie at the MDCC-Arena on Monday. Madgeburg should benefit from having played two competitive matches compared to Frankfurt whose season starts here, but the Europa League winners should have too much quality if they can ride out the hosts' early storm. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 54.12%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 22.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 2-1 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
MagdeburgDrawEintracht Frankfurt
22.97% (0.931 0.93) 22.9% (0.219 0.22) 54.12% (-1.148 -1.15)
Both teams to score 56.29% (0.501 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29% (0.083999999999996 0.08)43.71% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9% (0.080999999999996 0.08)66.1% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)
Magdeburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.09% (0.887 0.89)32.91% (-0.886 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (0.976 0.98)69.49% (-0.97500000000001 -0.98)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.91% (-0.366 -0.37)16.08% (0.366 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.52% (-0.674 -0.67)45.48% (0.675 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Magdeburg 22.97%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 54.12%
    Draw 22.9%
MagdeburgDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 5.97% (0.19 0.19)
1-0 @ 5.88% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 3.27% (0.143 0.14)
3-1 @ 2.21% (0.122 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.087 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.21% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 22.97%
1-1 @ 10.75% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.107 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.29% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.9%
1-2 @ 9.82% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
0-1 @ 9.67% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-2 @ 8.84% (-0.256 -0.26)
1-3 @ 5.98% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-3 @ 5.38% (-0.225 -0.23)
2-3 @ 3.32% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.73% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-4 @ 2.46% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 54.12%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Karlsruher 2-3 Magdeburg
Sunday, July 24 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Magdeburg 1-2 Dusseldorf
Saturday, July 16 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Magdeburg 2-3 St Pauli
Saturday, August 7 at 5.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Magdeburg 2-3 SV Darmstadt 98
Sunday, September 13 at 5.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Magdeburg 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Magdeburg 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, May 19 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 Rangers (5-4 pen.)
Wednesday, May 18 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Mainz 05 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, May 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-0 West Ham
Thursday, May 5 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 Frankfurt
Monday, May 2 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: West Ham 1-2 Frankfurt
Thursday, April 28 at 8pm in Europa League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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