Magdeburg
2 - 3
St Pauli

Conteh (31', 54')
Atik (49'), Reimann (65'), Bittroff (85')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Burgstaller (3', 58'), Medic (40')
Zander (13'), Makienok (42'), Aremu (74'), Dittgen (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Magdeburg and St Pauli.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
Magdeburg	Draw	St Pauli
30.35%	25.51%	44.14%

Both teams to score 54.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.5%

49.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.46%

71.53%

Magdeburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.79%

30.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.63%

66.37%

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.62%

22.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.12%

55.87%

Score Analysis

Magdeburg 30.35%

St Pauli 44.13%

Draw 25.51%

Magdeburg	Draw	St Pauli
1-0 @ 8.09% 2-1 @ 7.25% 2-0 @ 4.84% 3-1 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 1.93% Other @ 3.17% Total : 30.35%	1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.76% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 10.11% 1-2 @ 9.07% 0-2 @ 7.58% 1-3 @ 4.53% 0-3 @ 3.78% 2-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.24% Total : 44.13%