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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 9, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Sportpark am Lotter Kreuz
K

Sportfreunde Lotte
1 - 4
Karlsruher

Brauer (73')
Brauer (41'), Stettin (74'), Amer (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Schleusener (44'), Hofmann (50'), Kaufmann (59'), Cueto (79')
Wanitzek (42')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Sportfreunde Lotte and Karlsruher SC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 86.33%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Sportfreunde Lotte had a probability of 4.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.84%) and 0-4 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.5%), while for a Sportfreunde Lotte win it was 1-0 (1.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karlsruher SC would win this match.

Result
Sportfreunde LotteDrawKarlsruher SC
4.17%9.5%86.33%
Both teams to score 42.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.8%28.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.99%49.01%
Sportfreunde Lotte Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.81%55.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12%88%
Karlsruher SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.61%4.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.9%18.1%
Score Analysis
    Sportfreunde Lotte 4.17%
    Karlsruher SC 86.33%
    Draw 9.5%
Sportfreunde LotteDrawKarlsruher SC
1-0 @ 1.44%
2-1 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 4.17%
1-1 @ 4.5%
0-0 @ 2.42%
2-2 @ 2.09%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 9.5%
0-3 @ 12.35%
0-2 @ 11.84%
0-4 @ 9.66%
0-1 @ 7.57%
1-3 @ 7.34%
1-2 @ 7.04%
0-5 @ 6.05%
1-4 @ 5.74%
1-5 @ 3.59%
0-6 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.18%
1-6 @ 1.87%
2-4 @ 1.71%
0-7 @ 1.41%
2-5 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 86.33%

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