Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Sportfreunde Lotte and Karlsruher SC.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 86.33%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Sportfreunde Lotte had a probability of 4.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.84%) and 0-4 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.5%), while for a Sportfreunde Lotte win it was 1-0 (1.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karlsruher SC would win this match.