Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 86.33%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Sportfreunde Lotte had a probability of 4.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.84%) and 0-4 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.5%), while for a Sportfreunde Lotte win it was 1-0 (1.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karlsruher SC would win this match.
