Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.