Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Hansa Rostock win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karlsruher SC would win this match.