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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Sep 12, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Bonava-Arena im Friesenstadion
W

Union Fürstenwalde
1 - 4
Wolfsburg

Geurts (9' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-2)
Victor (24', 29'), Gerhardt (60'), Guilavogui (77')
Otavio (75')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Union Furstenwalde and Wolfsburg.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 67.39%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Union Fürstenwalde had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Union Fürstenwalde win it was 2-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
Union FurstenwaldeDrawWolfsburg
14.29%18.32%67.39%
Both teams to score 55.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.32%36.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.16%58.85%
Union Furstenwalde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.81%38.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.05%74.96%
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.99%10.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.94%33.07%
Score Analysis
    Union Furstenwalde 14.29%
    Wolfsburg 67.38%
    Draw 18.32%
Union FurstenwaldeDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 4.08%
1-0 @ 3.68%
2-0 @ 1.77%
3-2 @ 1.51%
3-1 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 14.29%
1-1 @ 8.47%
2-2 @ 4.69%
0-0 @ 3.83%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.32%
0-2 @ 10.12%
1-2 @ 9.75%
0-1 @ 8.8%
0-3 @ 7.77%
1-3 @ 7.48%
0-4 @ 4.47%
1-4 @ 4.3%
2-3 @ 3.6%
2-4 @ 2.07%
0-5 @ 2.06%
1-5 @ 1.98%
2-5 @ 0.95%
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 67.38%


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