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Europa League | Round of 16
Aug 5, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist
W

Shakhtar
3 - 0
Wolfsburg

Moraes (89', 90+3'), Solomon (90+1')
Krivtsov (59')
Khotcholava (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Brooks (57'), Schlager (71'), Arnold (87')
Brooks (70')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawWolfsburg
27.71%26.62%45.67%
Both teams to score 49.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.78%55.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.55%76.45%
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.84%35.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.08%71.92%
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88%24.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.58%58.42%
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 27.71%
    Wolfsburg 45.67%
    Draw 26.62%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawWolfsburg
1-0 @ 8.86%
2-1 @ 6.59%
2-0 @ 4.63%
3-1 @ 2.3%
3-2 @ 1.63%
3-0 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 27.71%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 8.48%
2-2 @ 4.69%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 12.06%
1-2 @ 8.96%
0-2 @ 8.58%
1-3 @ 4.25%
0-3 @ 4.07%
2-3 @ 2.22%
1-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 45.67%


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