Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.