Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Waldhof Mannheim and Freiburg.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Waldhof Mannheim had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.12%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest Waldhof Mannheim win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Freiburg in this match.
