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FL
Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
Jun 16, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Olympiastadion
HB

Freiburg
2 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Grifo (61'), Petersen (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ibisevic (66' pen.)
Torunarigha (23'), Darida (53')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawHertha Berlin
41.28%25.44%33.28%
Both teams to score 55.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.83%48.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.67%70.32%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.82%23.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.94%57.06%
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.39%27.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.85%63.14%
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 41.28%
    Hertha Berlin 33.28%
    Draw 25.44%
FreiburgDrawHertha Berlin
1-0 @ 9.36%
2-1 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 6.84%
3-1 @ 4.29%
3-0 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.22%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 41.28%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 6.4%
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 8.24%
1-2 @ 7.75%
0-2 @ 5.3%
1-3 @ 3.32%
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 2.27%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 33.28%


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