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Thursday, March 28
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
Jun 20, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
FL

Bayern
3 - 1
Freiburg

Kimmich (15'), Lewandowski (24', 37')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Holer (33')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 80.53%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 7.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.7%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (2.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
80.53%12.36%7.11%
Both teams to score 51.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.08%28.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.11%49.89%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.51%5.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.56%21.44%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.02%45.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.29%81.71%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 80.52%
    Freiburg 7.11%
    Draw 12.36%
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
2-0 @ 10.64%
3-0 @ 10.29%
2-1 @ 8.27%
3-1 @ 8%
4-0 @ 7.47%
1-0 @ 7.33%
4-1 @ 5.8%
5-0 @ 4.34%
5-1 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 3.11%
4-2 @ 2.25%
6-0 @ 2.1%
6-1 @ 1.63%
5-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 4.62%
Total : 80.52%
1-1 @ 5.7%
2-2 @ 3.21%
0-0 @ 2.53%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 12.36%
1-2 @ 2.21%
0-1 @ 1.96%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 7.11%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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