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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
BRITA-Arena
DL

Wiesbaden
0 - 3
Dortmund


Rieble (9'), Goppel (43'), Taffertshofer (44')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Braut Haaland (26', 31' pen., 51')
Schulz (64')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 61.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Wehen Wiesbaden had a probability of 18.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.24%) and 1-3 (7.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%), while for a Wehen Wiesbaden win it was 2-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Wehen WiesbadenDrawBorussia Dortmund
18.67%19.42%61.91%
Both teams to score 61.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.73%33.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.96%55.04%
Wehen Wiesbaden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.07%30.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.77%67.23%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.6%10.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.06%33.94%
Score Analysis
    Wehen Wiesbaden 18.68%
    Borussia Dortmund 61.91%
    Draw 19.42%
Wehen WiesbadenDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 5.01%
1-0 @ 3.78%
3-2 @ 2.22%
2-0 @ 2.21%
3-1 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 18.68%
1-1 @ 8.54%
2-2 @ 5.67%
0-0 @ 3.22%
3-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 19.42%
1-2 @ 9.67%
0-2 @ 8.24%
1-3 @ 7.3%
0-1 @ 7.28%
0-3 @ 6.22%
2-3 @ 4.28%
1-4 @ 4.13%
0-4 @ 3.52%
2-4 @ 2.42%
1-5 @ 1.87%
0-5 @ 1.59%
2-5 @ 1.1%
3-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 61.91%

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