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Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 8, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
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Dortmund
3 - 2
RB Leipzig

Reus (7'), Sancho (51', 87')
Hummels (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Klostermann (63'), Olmo (77')
Haidara (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawRB Leipzig
39.01%24.99%35.99%
Both teams to score 57.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.31%45.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.99%68.01%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.77%23.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.87%57.13%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.16%24.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.57%59.42%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 39.01%
    RB Leipzig 35.99%
    Draw 24.98%
Borussia DortmundDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.56%
1-0 @ 8.42%
2-0 @ 6.15%
3-1 @ 4.17%
3-0 @ 2.99%
3-2 @ 2.9%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.09%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 39.01%
1-1 @ 11.72%
2-2 @ 5.96%
0-0 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.98%
1-2 @ 8.17%
0-1 @ 8.03%
0-2 @ 5.6%
1-3 @ 3.79%
2-3 @ 2.77%
0-3 @ 2.6%
1-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 0.97%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 35.99%

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