Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.77%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.