Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 55.17%. A win for NEC had a probability of 23.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.55%) and 1-0 (7.38%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.