SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 55.17%. A win for NEC had a probability of 23.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.55%) and 1-0 (7.38%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | NEC |
| 55.17% | 21.28% | 23.54% |
| Both teams to score 62.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.5% | 35.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.46% | 57.53% |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.07% | 12.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.63% | 39.36% |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% | 27.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.48% | 63.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| De Graafschap | Draw | NEC |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% 2-0 @ 7.55% 1-0 @ 7.38% 3-1 @ 6.57% 3-0 @ 5.15% 3-2 @ 4.2% 4-1 @ 3.36% 4-0 @ 2.63% 4-2 @ 2.15% 5-1 @ 1.38% 5-0 @ 1.08% 4-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.19% Total : 55.17% | 1-1 @ 9.42% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 3.61% 3-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.28% | 1-2 @ 6.01% 0-1 @ 4.6% 0-2 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 2.62% 1-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.56% Total : 23.54% |
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