Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 74.08%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 10%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 0-1 (3.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
