Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
