Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 59.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 17.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
