Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.84%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 2-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.